Will Quantum computing break RSA encryption before 2030?
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RSA-256

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I sure hope not.

At that small key size why would you bother with a quantum computer?

At which key size?

@a2bb 256

@Dig As another comment hinted, a modulus of this size has already been factored by a classical computer decades ago.

IMHO, seems like this market should probably resolve YES on account of this fact. Perhaps you would say that this doesn't meet the criteria because "quantum computing" wasn't involved? But in that case, it seems like we should clarify what qualifies as "quantum computing" here.

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