Shout out to @firstuserhere and @evergreenemily for the inspiration.

Here's how this works:

• Anyone can submit a free response option in the form of a guess that they have about me. It can be about anything - guesses about my music taste, my research interests, my sleep habits, etc.

• Try to guess something that's not already known about me. I will N/A really obvious attempts to "predict" known stuff.

• If I don't feel comfortable answering the question in a public space like Manifold, I'll resolve the option to N/A.

• Otherwise, I'll resolve to YES if the guess was right, NO if the guess was wrong, and 50% if it was partly right and partly wrong.

• Between the option being submitted and me actually seeing and resolving it, you (and other traders) can spend mana to try to make a profit. If you're confident in a guess, buy YES - if you think someone has it wrong, buy NO. For obvious reasons, I won't bet on the options before resolving then.

  • I will generally wait for 2 or more people to make a trade, partly so that users get some trader bonuses, and so that people can converge on an opinion maybe

• This continues indefinitely, because the market doesn't close when I resolve an individual option.

Have at it!

Thanks to @evergreenemily for this market idea. You can find her original market here