How many manifold users would participate in a daily guessing game?
33
1kṀ1892
2026
2%
1-50
4%
50-100
13%
100-150
13%
150-300
17%
300-500
51%
500+

The daily game would be something like:

  • 1 question is chosen each day and shown to all users when they open the app that day

  • the probability is hidden from you until you choose a likelihood

  • you will be prompted to bet or given a free 10M bet based on your choice

  • the question could be chosen by votes from the previous day/by fiat/by purchasing the slot

This question resolves to the 7-day average usage of the feature the week following the month after it goes live. It resolves N/A if we don't implement the feature.

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