The daily game would be something like:
1 question is chosen each day and shown to all users when they open the app that day
the probability is hidden from you until you choose a likelihood
you will be prompted to bet or given a free 10M bet based on your choice
the question could be chosen by votes from the previous day/by fiat/by purchasing the slot
This question resolves to the 7-day average usage of the feature the week following the month after it goes live. It resolves N/A if we don't implement the feature.
1,000
My overview.
a market type which only allows players to make one 10m bet per market, free, at current market price with current payout system (i.e. buying Y at 1% is still very good if you win), plus social features would mean that everyone could bet on every market, relative to current price. greatly reduce friction, generate tons more data. you could still run correlations between bettors for quality etc to generate useful info. it's much more fun for market makers, more fun for traders, seems win to me
A couple clarifications:
1 question is chosen each day and shown to all users when they open the app that day
Is it just the first item pinned to the top of the scrollable home feed? Or is it an unignorable full screen pop up?
You will be prompted to bet or given a free 10M bet based on your choice
What causes each of these outcomes?
Not sure to the first point, I think it would have some highlight on the home page
I think it might just be a free 10m bet? I hadn't decided
This sounds like a really fun feature. I like it, it lets you enjoy the fun of pure prediction without worrying about the more clinical task of market analysis