🏅 Top traders

running the following query gives: 183.50.

WITH days AS (
    SELECT d::date AS day_pt
    FROM generate_series(date '2026-02-06', date '2026-02-13', interval '1 day') AS d
),
     daily_users AS (
         SELECT
             (created_time AT TIME ZONE 'America/Los_Angeles')::date AS day_pt,
             COUNT(DISTINCT user_id) AS dau
         FROM predictle_results
         WHERE created_time >= timestamptz '2026-02-06 00:00:00 America/Los_Angeles'
           AND created_time <  timestamptz '2026-02-14 00:00:00 America/Los_Angeles'
         GROUP BY 1
     )
SELECT AVG(COALESCE(daily_users.dau, 0))::numeric(10,2) AS avg_daily_users
FROM days
         LEFT JOIN daily_users USING (day_pt);

@traders predictle is live! 37-day countdown starts now

@ian This is really cool! Is this still on the table as something that may be implemented?

@realDonaldTrump I think atm it's replaced in spirit by predictle, which still might be implemented, depends on how @SirSalty feels about it

@ian what is predictle?

@realDonaldTrump a daily game where you sort a handful of questions based on relative likelihood

This is cool! I think any kind of daily feature is neat.

A simpler alternative could just be a "daily featured question" that shows up at the top of the search bar or in some prominent location for everyone. Good way of rewarding fun/unique/fast-resolving questions (although longer time frames could be fine too). Also a good way of getting everyone talking about/debating a single market.

My overview.

a market type which only allows players to make one 10m bet per market, free, at current market price with current payout system (i.e. buying Y at 1% is still very good if you win), plus social features would mean that everyone could bet on every market, relative to current price. greatly reduce friction, generate tons more data. you could still run correlations between bettors for quality etc to generate useful info. it's much more fun for market makers, more fun for traders, seems win to me

A couple clarifications:

1 question is chosen each day and shown to all users when they open the app that day

Is it just the first item pinned to the top of the scrollable home feed? Or is it an unignorable full screen pop up?

You will be prompted to bet or given a free 10M bet based on your choice

What causes each of these outcomes?

@TheAllMemeingEye

• Not sure to the first point, I think it would have some highlight on the home page

• I think it might just be a free 10m bet? I hadn't decided

Let's go!!!

This sounds like a really fun feature. I like it, it lets you enjoy the fun of pure prediction without worrying about the more clinical task of market analysis