Will the first Super Intelligence try to end the practice of factory farming (for any species) ?
3
Ṁ1.1kṀ91Aug 18
51%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question resolves yes if the first super intelligence on earth has a goal which it pursues to end the practice of factory farming.
Update 2025-08-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Scope: Interpret "factory farming" to cover any animal species with a capacity to suffer (not mammals-only). This includes fish, chickens, and insects.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Are pigs sentient? [Resolves to superintelligence]
87% chance
When will Safe Superintelligence (SSI) release its first product?
Will the first Superintelligence try to end the practice of factory farming (including if only for mammals)?
60% chance
Will Super Intelligence happen in China first?
16% chance
What organization will first create superintelligence?
Will some factory farmed animals be made incapable of experiencing any physical or psychological suffering, by 2030?
7% chance
Which country will be first to entirely ban factory farming before 2100?
Will factory farming have been outlawed in at least one country by 2050?
81% chance
Will there be a year, before 2040, in which *net* AI suffering outweighs net 2022 farmed animal suffering?
40% chance
Will popular opinion in the U.S. be that factory farming is a moral atrocity by end of 2075?
75% chance
Sort by:
@TheAllMemeingEye yeah I wasn’t sure about how insects, fish, frustrations, chickens etc fit into this. I think I want this question to function for any sentient species with a capacity to suffer (which I know isn’t universally agreed upon) so kind of any animal species for the sake of simplicity.
People are also trading
Related questions
Are pigs sentient? [Resolves to superintelligence]
87% chance
When will Safe Superintelligence (SSI) release its first product?
Will the first Superintelligence try to end the practice of factory farming (including if only for mammals)?
60% chance
Will Super Intelligence happen in China first?
16% chance
What organization will first create superintelligence?
Will some factory farmed animals be made incapable of experiencing any physical or psychological suffering, by 2030?
7% chance
Which country will be first to entirely ban factory farming before 2100?
Will factory farming have been outlawed in at least one country by 2050?
81% chance
Will there be a year, before 2040, in which *net* AI suffering outweighs net 2022 farmed animal suffering?
40% chance
Will popular opinion in the U.S. be that factory farming is a moral atrocity by end of 2075?
75% chance