EU officially a federation by January 1, 2040?
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This market resolves YES if the European Union officially transforms into a federation before January 1, 2040, as evidenced by a ratified treaty, constitutional change, or official declaration establishing the EU as a federation.
A federation would involve a significant change to the EU's structure, with more centralized power at the EU level and a clearer division of competencies between the EU and member states.
Resolution will be based on official EU documents, treaties, or announcements that explicitly establish a federal structure.
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