Will Europe evolve into a united nation by 2030? | Manifold

Will Europe evolve into a united nation by 2030?

12

1kṀ3361

2029

5%

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Resolves YES if by 2030, there is a country that includes most of current (2025) EU members. It could be called the United States of Europe, European Federation or anything else. The market resolves YES also if the country includes other non European states (eg. anything like a Western Federation) as long as most of current EU members join such country.

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How unified do they have to be? In many ways the EU already acts as a nation, in some ways the states and tribes of the USA are still seperate nations

@digory let's say they must have only one passport. Does it sound like a good criteria?

@SimoneRomeo passports aren't great for this. Just look at ex-colonial/imperial nations

@Dulaman what about ex-colonial nations? Eg. United Kingdom and Australia have different passports

@SimoneRomeo there’s quite a few different types of uk passports. It’s not one thing at all

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Will the European Union still exist as a meaningful political entity in the year 2050?

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Will a nation in Europe which is not currently a full UN member state gain that status by 2035.

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Related questions

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Will any of the following Western countries have a civil war by 2030?

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Will Italy be a member state of the European Union by the start of 2030?

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