Will SBF testify at the House hearing on Dec 13th?
65
24
1.3K
resolved Dec 14
Resolved
NO

https://twitter.com/SBF_FTX/status/1601186246990401537?cxt=HHwWgsDU8Y-ax7gsAAAA

Resolve to Yes if SBF testified (in person or remotely) at the House hearing on Dec 13th.

Resolve to No if SBF didn't testify on Dec 13th. Resolve to No if SBF testified on another date

Close date updated to 2022-12-14 1:00 am

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predicted NO

It doesn't count if he submitted his prepared statement right?

predicted NO

@BTE Doesnt count if he only submitted his statement but didnt speak

I'm waiting until end of today to resolve the market

predicted NO

It's definitely not happening. Announced by Maxine Waters.

sold Ṁ64 of YES
predicted NO

@EdwardKmett cool to see you on here. I have seen you speak at LambdaJam a while back and like your Haskell libraries.

predicted NO

@Undox Thanks! I've been using this to try to keep myself a bit better balanced about what is going on in the "real" world. I find spending a half-hour predicting and adjusting predictions works way better than spending an hour reading the news and makes my internal state update much more accurately to the real state of the world by making me feel when I was wrong with something other than just hindsight bias.

bought Ṁ15 of NO

Yooo this investment went up real quick.

predicted NO

will the arrest stop him from testifying?

bought Ṁ250 of NO

@AmmonLam YES!! If II was his lawyer I would ask for him to not be granted bail just to keep him from ever being able to talk again, but no chance he gets released before he is extradited and arraigned which will not happen before this hearing.

predicted NO

@AmmonLam The SDNY has already announced they won't even unseal the indictment until tomorrow