Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths before the end of 2040? | Manifold

Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths before the end of 2040?

Basic

5

Ṁ143

2041

18%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Start counting from market creation (Jan 27,2024). Including tests. Only count deaths directly related to the explosion within 10 days of the explosion.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Nathan's Dashboard

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Related questions

Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths before the end of 2050?

Will a nuclear weapon cause over 1,000 deaths in 2024?

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated offensively by 2040?

Will an offensive nuclear detonation occur by 2080?

Will there be a Nuclear Explosion by 2030

Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths before the end of 2030?

Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths in 2024?

Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 10,000 deaths in 2024?

Will a nuclear weapon detonation cause at least 1 fatality, by end of 2024?

Will nuclear weapons cause at least [1, 1000, 100000] deaths in 2025?

Related questions

Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths before the end of 2050?

Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths before the end of 2030?

Will a nuclear weapon cause over 1,000 deaths in 2024?

Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths in 2024?

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated offensively by 2040?

Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 10,000 deaths in 2024?

Will an offensive nuclear detonation occur by 2080?

Will a nuclear weapon detonation cause at least 1 fatality, by end of 2024?

Will there be a Nuclear Explosion by 2030

Will nuclear weapons cause at least [1, 1000, 100000] deaths in 2025?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules