Will a nuclear war wipe out humanity by 2040? | Manifold

Will a nuclear war wipe out humanity by 2040?

Nuclear Risk•Existential Risk•Non-AI Doom composite

6

73

Ṁ718

Ṁ170

2040

3%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves NO if humanity is still around in 2040. Otherwise, we just have to hope that who/whatever is left resolves it correctly.

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