[1000M subsidy, Manifold Veteran Competition] Will team Yes has more daily prediction streak?
24
1.5kṀ23k
resolved May 19
Resolved
YES

After the market closes, the top 6 holders in each team may report their daily prediction streak by sharing a screenshot in the comment section. The team score is determined by the prediction streaks of the top 3 streakers from each team. The team with the highest score will be declared the winner.

Resolve "Yes" if Yes team wins. Resolve "No" if No team wins. Resolve 50% if draw game.

Note:
1. Only the top 6 holders' prediction streaks can count towards the team's score. I will add up the top 3 prediction streaks of each team.

2. The top 6 holders who want their prediction streaks to count must report it in the comment section via a screenshot within 24 hours of market closing. They may also choose to report it before market closing, and I will use the latest reported prediction streak for score counting.

3. If less than 3 users report their prediction streaks in a team, I will only add up the score of the 2/1/0 users who reported it.

4. Coalition, collusion, and team switching are explicitly allowed here. Please form the strongest team you can!

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Team Yes has won!

predictedYES

The current count:

Yes team:
BTE 212
Jack 275
Conflux 238
firstuserhere 144

No team:
Sir cryptomind 124
Fedor 74

Other top 6 holders please post a screenshot of your streak before 11pmET today if you want it counted.


predictedNO

@AmmonLam I'm on team NO with 100

predictedYES

@AmmonLam Team yes

predictedNO

It probably won't help, but https://imgur.com/a/ryZs7Zj

predictedNO

@Fedor Meaning streak 74.

predictedYES

@BTE @jack @Conflux Good job team YES, those streaks are impressive 💪

predictedYES

Assuming all of your screenshots are legit, @Fedor's and @AndrewG's streaks gotta sum up to >601 for team NO to win.

predictedYES

Number of days the user has been registered on Manifold (rounded down) as a quick sanity check:

@BTE 450
@Conflux 505
@jack 501
@SirCryptomind 127
@Fedor 72
@AndrewG 344

Yeah, that's gg

predictedNO

As of closing, I have a 37 streak. Don’t think it’s very likely that will matter, but we’ll see.

I swear I don't even care about my streak. I think it'd be perfect if I hadn't missed a single day awhile ago. On the other hand, I'm surprised I hadn't missed any days after WvM when I was a bit disillusioned and also quite busy!

Pretty sure this is a perfect streak since the day streaks started. And like Conflux, I also really didn't care about my streak and even disabled the streak notifications lol.

I have only missed one day since the feature was added and unlike Jack and Conflux I will admit that I care much more than I should about an invisible vanity metric meant to trick my brain chemicals into forcing me to care much more than I should.

predictedYES

Given this, it is entirely impossible for team NO to have more streak than YES.

predictedYES

@BTE given jack, conflux and BTE's immense streaks, mine is not gonna get counted anyway, but team YES, here it is

predictedYES

@jack there are notifications for streaks? LOL, I've got all notifs disabled except in-app ones, that too only for replies

😭 @Conflux has entered the MVC a YES

I'll wait until people commit more to NO before betting more. Closing time is soon, let's not the subsidy just lay there!

@Irigi Scary

123 Streak on NO 👍

prospective betters, I offer a 145 or 146 streak, join the team NO if interested

@AmmonLam how will you handle bots?

predictedNO

@howtodowtle Do you expect the bots to report their prediction streak via screenshot?

@howtodowtle If a bot/alt maintained a high prediction streak and reported it via screenshot, I would count it as well

predictedNO

@AmmonLam So then bots are essentially for their side since they won't report but can take up a top-6 spot?

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