[1000M subsidy, Manifold Veteran Competition] Will team Yes has more daily prediction streak?
24
340
1.5K
resolved May 19
Resolved
YES

After the market closes, the top 6 holders in each team may report their daily prediction streak by sharing a screenshot in the comment section. The team score is determined by the prediction streaks of the top 3 streakers from each team. The team with the highest score will be declared the winner.

Resolve "Yes" if Yes team wins. Resolve "No" if No team wins. Resolve 50% if draw game.

Note:
1. Only the top 6 holders' prediction streaks can count towards the team's score. I will add up the top 3 prediction streaks of each team.

2. The top 6 holders who want their prediction streaks to count must report it in the comment section via a screenshot within 24 hours of market closing. They may also choose to report it before market closing, and I will use the latest reported prediction streak for score counting.

3. If less than 3 users report their prediction streaks in a team, I will only add up the score of the 2/1/0 users who reported it.

4. Coalition, collusion, and team switching are explicitly allowed here. Please form the strongest team you can!

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Team Yes has won!

predicted YES

The current count:

Yes team:
BTE 212
Jack 275
Conflux 238
firstuserhere 144

No team:
Sir cryptomind 124
Fedor 74

Other top 6 holders please post a screenshot of your streak before 11pmET today if you want it counted.


predicted NO

@AmmonLam I'm on team NO with 100

predicted YES

@AmmonLam Team yes

predicted NO

It probably won't help, but https://imgur.com/a/ryZs7Zj

predicted NO

@Fedor Meaning streak 74.

predicted YES

@BTE @jack @Conflux Good job team YES, those streaks are impressive 💪

predicted YES

Assuming all of your screenshots are legit, @Fedor's and @AndrewG's streaks gotta sum up to >601 for team NO to win.

predicted YES

Number of days the user has been registered on Manifold (rounded down) as a quick sanity check:

@BTE 450
@Conflux 505
@jack 501
@SirCryptomind 127
@Fedor 72
@AndrewG 344

Yeah, that's gg

predicted NO
bought Ṁ30 of YES

As of closing, I have a 37 streak. Don’t think it’s very likely that will matter, but we’ll see.

sold Ṁ988 of YES

I swear I don't even care about my streak. I think it'd be perfect if I hadn't missed a single day awhile ago. On the other hand, I'm surprised I hadn't missed any days after WvM when I was a bit disillusioned and also quite busy!

bought Ṁ49 of YES

Pretty sure this is a perfect streak since the day streaks started. And like Conflux, I also really didn't care about my streak and even disabled the streak notifications lol.

sold Ṁ4,904 of YES

I have only missed one day since the feature was added and unlike Jack and Conflux I will admit that I care much more than I should about an invisible vanity metric meant to trick my brain chemicals into forcing me to care much more than I should.

predicted YES

Given this, it is entirely impossible for team NO to have more streak than YES.

predicted YES

@BTE given jack, conflux and BTE's immense streaks, mine is not gonna get counted anyway, but team YES, here it is

predicted YES

@jack there are notifications for streaks? LOL, I've got all notifs disabled except in-app ones, that too only for replies

bought Ṁ50 of NO

😭 @Conflux has entered the MVC a YES

bought Ṁ50 of NO

I'll wait until people commit more to NO before betting more. Closing time is soon, let's not the subsidy just lay there!

bought Ṁ20 of NO

@Irigi Scary

bought Ṁ12 of NO

123 Streak on NO 👍

bought Ṁ30 of NO

prospective betters, I offer a 145 or 146 streak, join the team NO if interested

sold Ṁ104 of NO

@AmmonLam how will you handle bots?

predicted NO

@howtodowtle Do you expect the bots to report their prediction streak via screenshot?

@howtodowtle If a bot/alt maintained a high prediction streak and reported it via screenshot, I would count it as well

predicted NO

@AmmonLam So then bots are essentially for their side since they won't report but can take up a top-6 spot?