Will the radical right AfD get more votes than the centre-right CDU/CSU in Germany's next federal election?

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resolved Feb 23

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Over the last month the far-right AfD has risen sharply in the polls.
https://www.politico.eu/europe-poll-of-polls/germany/

Is this a permanent change in Germany's political landscape?

POLITICO Poll of Polls — German polls, trends and election news for Germany

POLLING FROM ACROSS EUROPE. UPDATED DAILY. Jump to: ▫️ National parliament voting intention ▫️ 2021 general election ▫️ Regional elections Germany — National parliament voting intent…

Update 2025-07-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Criteria:
- Comparison based on combined CDU/CSU vote totals rather than CDU alone.

Market context

German Politics

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Did we get results already. I tought they hadn't been counted yet

@JussiVilleHeiskanen The projections are clear. If there is some freak error we can always re-resolve.

@AlexbGoode only CDU or CDU/CSU? Most polls show CDU/CSU combined.

@dp9000 i'll use the combined results

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