Any viable coalition without AfD/BSW/Left? (German federal election)
9
1kṀ455
2029
68%
chance

Will the broadly centrist parties still have a majority after the next German Bundestag election?

Resolves after the next German federal election (scheduled for no later than March 2029, unless early elections are called).

Definition of "Broadly Centrist" Parties:

Included as "broadly centrist": CDU/CSU, FDP, SPD, Greens

Not included as "broadly centrist": AfD, BSW, Die Linke (Left Party)
Other parties will be classified based on their policy positions relative to this spectrum

"Majority" means collectively holding more than 50% of seats in the Bundestag

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