
Will the broadly centrist parties still have a majority after the next German Bundestag election?
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Will resolve after the next German federal election (scheduled for no later than March 2029, unless early elections are called).
Definition of "Broadly Centrist" Parties:
Included as "broadly centrist": CDU/CSU, FDP, SPD, Greens
Not included as "broadly centrist": AfD, BSW, Die Linke (Left Party)
New parties that emerge before the election will be classified based on their policy positions relative to this spectrum
Note: "Broadly centrist" is of course a relative term and depends on political context / time period... But the classification here generally aligns with how these parties are currently portrayed in mainstream media
"Majority" means collectively holding more than 50% of seats in the Bundestag
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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