Will Russia and Ukraine still be at war on July 10?
39
102Ṁ2999resolved Jul 10
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Resolves yes if, on July 10, there is still ongoing fighting between Russian armed forces and Ukrainian armed forces, or if there was recent fighting, with widespread expectation of renewed fighting. A seemingly-stable ceasefire will result in the question resolving no, even if there is no formal peace treaty. If Ukraine capitulates to Russia, this question resolves no, even if there is an ongoing insurgency in Ukraine.
Question inspired by reported DoD intent to supply Ukraine with anti-drone weapons within 120 days, seemingly implying that this would not be too late to make a difference. https://www.reuters.com/world/exclusive-pentagon-revives-team-speed-arms-ukraine-allies-sources-2022-03-11/
Mar 13, 1:54pm: I mean July 10, 2022.
Mar 15, 7:48pm: If there is a peace agreement before July 10, but it is broken by July 10 and there is fighting on that date, this market resolves yes.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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