Will Ukraine and Russia have a cease-fire or peace before 2026? | Manifold

Will Ukraine and Russia have a cease-fire or peace before 2026?

83

305Ṁ17k

Jan 1

1%

chance

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1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves YES if there is a cease-fire or peace treaty between the two countries (even briefly) before 2026.

Otherwise resolves NO.

Market context

Ukraine-Russia war

Ukraine Counteroffensive

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@vilja Can be resolved

opened a Ṁ50 NO at 45% order

Arbitrage

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