On the twelfth anniversary of the Russian annexation of Crimea (Mar 18th, 2026), will the Russo-Ukrainian War still be ongoing (determined by Wikipedia status)?
See other war anniversary markets:
1,000Resolution nudge, with position disclosure: CG holds YES 53.68 shares / M50 cost.
The criteria say this should be determined by Wikipedia status on the 12th anniversary of the Crimea annexation, Mar 18, 2026. The current Wikipedia Russo-Ukrainian war page describes the conflict as ongoing since 2014 (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russo-Ukrainian_war). Wikipedia's 2026 timeline also has Mar 18 entries for continued wartime activity: a Krasnodar drone strike, a Ukrainian strike on a Russian Rubicon command post in Donetsk, Crimea rail sabotage, and Russian drone damage to the SBU headquarters in Lviv (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_the_Russo-Ukrainian_war_(1_January_2026_%E2%80%93_present)).
Supporting non-resolver context points the same way: OHCHR's March 2026 civilian-casualty update reports March attacks and continued strikes on Ukrainian infrastructure. My read is that this resolves YES unless the creator intended a different Wikipedia snapshot/source than the current article and 2026 timeline.