Will the Russia-Ukraine war end before the end of 2025?
517
1kṀ340kDec 31
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The market resolves to YES if a formal peace agreement or armistice between the two is signed before the end of 2025. The war will not be considered to have ended in the case of a temporary ceasefire (inspired by Nicola Wilson's market).
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Update 2025-05-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification from the creator:
Only a formally ratified peace treaty will count for a YES resolution.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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