This market tracks which markets will close during the six month period before the next nuclear attack (as defined in https://manifold.markets/AlexBokov/when-will-the-next-attack-by-a-nucl).

Users can contribute new answers that are links to other Manifold markets. Holders of 'Other' shares will automatically receive a fair fraction of any new answers added after they bought 'Other' shares. The linked market is obviously not itself eligible to be an answer. I reserve the right to resolve as N/A other edge cases that in some unforeseen way ruin the predictive usefulness of this market but it is unlikely that I will have to do so. Links to betting markets other than Manifold can be contributed but I reserve the right to resolve them as N/A if they become inconvenient for me to track. I will not bet in this market.

Resolution criteria:

• This market resolves when the 'yes' resolution criteria in the linked nuclear attack market are met.

• However unlike the linked market, the start of the month when the nuclear attack happens will be used as the index date. So, for example, if the underlying market resolves to 'yes' on 'Q4 2027' and the criteria were met in October 2027, then October 1st 2027 will be the index date for resolving this market.

• All answers whose underlying markets closed less than or equal to six months before the index date will resolve to true. All remaining answers will resolve to false (i.e. those whose markets are still open as well as those whose markets closed before the six-month window).

• It doesn't matter why an underlying market closes, nor whether it closes with 'yes', 'no', or N/A.

• If a market has both sweepcash and manna versions that somehow manage to close at different times, the sweepcash closing time will take precedence because it's resolved by manifold staff

• At the end of each month during which no nuclear attack happened as per above criteria, all answers linked to markets that closed more than six months prior to the start of that month will resolve to 'false'.