Will AI cause mass unemployment... by 2030 ?
38
137
690
2030
34%
chance

To resolve, I'll take direction from the consensus of the mainstream media...

If major media outlets are saying unemployment has risen to over 25% (I believe that was roughly how bad things got in the American Great Depression?) and unequivocally state that AI is the primary cause, then we got a winner!

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What counts as "mass unemployment"? Is there a threshold? How will you determine whether it's caused by AI or by a more mundane economic catastrophe like the Great Depression?

predicts YES

@EvanDaniel Good questions lol - I'll take direction from the consensus of the mainstream media...

@AitchKay Supposing you're not still active on this site by 2030, what should the mod team do in your absence? It'd be helpful to have a little more to go on than that :)

predicts YES

@EvanDaniel Yes I see lol - if major media outlets are saying unemployment has risen to over 25% (I believe that was roughly how bad things got in the American Great Depression?) and unequivocally state that AI is the primary cause, then we got a winner!

The problem with this question is there so far away in the future where not even sure that the website we are betting on will still be up by this date.

predicts YES

@ChristianJacques Dude, 2030 is quite soon, relatively speaking...

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