Will the CDC report more US measles cases in Q1 of 2025 than in Q1 of 2024?
5
Ṁ100Ṁ146resolved Feb 26
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This is one of 25 props in the tenth annual Narcissist Forecasting Contest, as described here:
https://braff.co/advice/f/announcing-the-2025-narcissist-forecasting-contest
It will be adjudicated by judges as described in the fine print of the entry form:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ35 | |
| 2 | Ṁ16 | |
| 3 | Ṁ6 | |
| 4 | Ṁ1 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the CDC report more measles cases in 2026 than 2025?
95% chance
Will the CDC report twice as many measles cases in 2026 as 2025?
80% chance
Will measles become endemic in the U.S. due to the current Texas outbreak?
50% chance
Number of measles deaths reported by CDC in the US in 2026?
Total cases of measles reported in US during 2026
Will the CDC mortality report state that more US deaths from cancer occurred in 2025 than in 2024?
66% chance
Will a single infectious disease cause 200,000+ U.S. hospitalizations by April 15, 2026?
40% chance
Will the UK have a measles outbreak of 10k cases or more before 2028?
42% chance
Will the 2025-26 US flu season be classified as "high severity" by the CDC?
40% chance