Will the CDC report more US measles cases in Q1 of 2025 than in Q1 of 2024?
5
Ṁ100Ṁ146resolved Feb 26
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This is one of 25 props in the tenth annual Narcissist Forecasting Contest, as described here:
https://braff.co/advice/f/announcing-the-2025-narcissist-forecasting-contest
It will be adjudicated by judges as described in the fine print of the entry form:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ35 | |
| 2 | Ṁ16 | |
| 3 | Ṁ6 | |
| 4 | Ṁ1 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the CDC report more measles cases in 2026 than 2025?
95% chance
Will the CDC report twice as many measles cases in 2026 as 2025?
65% chance
Number of measles deaths reported by CDC in the US in 2026?
Total cases of measles reported in US during 2026
Will a single infectious disease cause 200,000+ U.S. hospitalizations by April 15, 2026?
17% chance
Will the CDC mortality report state that more US deaths from cancer occurred in 2025 than in 2024?
72% chance
Will the UK have a measles outbreak of 10k cases or more before 2028?
42% chance
Will the 2025-26 US flu season be classified as "high severity" by the CDC?
46% chance