Resolves yes if the People's Republic of China attempts to physically invade Taiwan using their military, regardless of whether they succeed
Minor incursion like drone annoyance or assassination attempts do not count
Sep 12, 3:08pm: Will China Invade Taiwan in 2023? → Will China Invade Taiwan before 2024?
Sorry, on review of what I am doing I decided to shutdown Manifold account. Resolving my markets as NA seems the fairest solution to people active on them.
- I decided to spend my time in a better way and Manifold is one of
things that I decided to eliminate in the ongoing owerview
- Daily bonus was effective, to the point of being scary, intrusive and
unwelcome
- Inability to block and hide unwanted markets/groups makes it
obnoxious to see some markets. Every time I read title of
https://manifold.markets/Yev/will-scott-alexander-write-an-acx-b
I die a bit inside and question what I am doing with my life
@Yev Changed the title to one without trickier reasoning. I hope that it is fine for you and your bet and you were not expecting 2022 invasion.
Thanks for catching this!