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In a year, will we think that Sam Altman leaving OpenAI reduced AI risk?
12% chance
Will Sam Altman be the CEO of OpenAI at the end of 2024?
93% chance
Will Sam Altman be a co-founder of a serious OpenAI competitor by EOY 2024?
5% chance
Will Sam Altman leave open AI before 2028?
45% chance
Overwhelming evidence that Sam Altman officially left OpenAI in November 2023?
44% chance
Will Sam Altman leave open AI before 2027?
30% chance
Will Sam Altman start a new AI company before June 2024?
17% chance
Will Sam Altman leave open AI before 2026?
31% chance
Will Sam Altman stop being the CEO of OpenAI again at any point before 2028?
34% chance
Will Sam Altman found an OpenAI competitor by the end of 2024?
13% chance