Will Sam Altman be the CEO of OpenAI at the end of 2025?
37
1kṀ18k
2026
93%
chance

Resolves YES. if Sam Altman is CEO of OpenAI at 11:59PM PT December 31, 2025. If he leaves and returns before EOY this still resolves YES.

  • Update 2025-02-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Definition of OpenAI in the context of the market:

    • Simple renaming: A straightforward renaming of the organization will count as OpenAI.

    • Mild restructure with renaming: If the rebranding is accompanied by only a mild restructuring, it almost certainly counts as OpenAI.

    • Large restructure: If the organization undergoes a significant restructure that leads to substantial or widespread disagreement about what constitutes "OpenAI," this could cause the market to resolve as NO even if Sam Altman remains CEO.

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