
Will Sam Altman be the CEO of OpenAI at the end of 2025?
37
1kṀ18k2026
93%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES. if Sam Altman is CEO of OpenAI at 11:59PM PT December 31, 2025. If he leaves and returns before EOY this still resolves YES.
Update 2025-02-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Definition of OpenAI in the context of the market:
Simple renaming: A straightforward renaming of the organization will count as OpenAI.
Mild restructure with renaming: If the rebranding is accompanied by only a mild restructuring, it almost certainly counts as OpenAI.
Large restructure: If the organization undergoes a significant restructure that leads to substantial or widespread disagreement about what constitutes "OpenAI," this could cause the market to resolve as NO even if Sam Altman remains CEO.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Sam Altman cease to be CEO of OpenAI before the end of 2025?
7% chance
Will Sam Altman still be CEO of OpenAI at the end of 2026?
82% chance
Will Sam Altman still be CEO of OpenAI at the end of 2027?
76% chance
Will Sam Altman still be CEO of OpenAI at mid 2028
51% chance
Will Sam Altman cease to be CEO of OpenAI again before 2030?
62% chance
Will Sam Altman stop being the CEO of OpenAI again at any point before 2028?
30% chance
Who will be the next CEO of OpenAI, after Sam Altman?
Will Sam Altman be the CEO of OpenAI when it releases AGI?
63% chance
Will Sam Altman be CEO of Open AI when Strong AGI is achieved by any organization?
50% chance
Will Sam Altman leave open AI before 2026?
8% chance