How many times will Donald Trump mention the possibility of a third term in public statements before June 30th, 2025?
Basic
3
Ṁ27
2025
13%
0-2 times
13%
3-5 times
12%
6-8 times
12%
9-12 times
50%
13 or more times

This market tracks the number of times Trump publicly mentions the possibility of serving a third term as president. Statements must be made in public speeches, social media posts, or interviews with media outlets.

Resolution Criteria:

  • Only count distinct statements made in different public appearances/posts

  • Must specifically reference a third term or presidency beyond 2028

References:

Should there be a dispute, the rules provided will control over the answer to the question itself. While, the question is intended to provide an easy way for people to bet on their beliefs, it is not the end all be all, and all traders should look at the rules. Please don't hesitate to ask clarifying questions in the comments. In the unlikely event of significant ambiguity regarding whether the resolution criteria have been met. I reserve the right to resolve a question to a percentage that I deem fair. I will give notice before I do this.

Statement on Liquidity:

If traders on this market independently add Ṁ225 of liquidity to this market, I will upgrade this market to Plus status

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules