This market tracks the number of times Trump publicly mentions the possibility of serving a third term as president. Statements must be made in public speeches, social media posts, or interviews with media outlets.
Resolution Criteria:
Only count distinct statements made in different public appearances/posts
Must specifically reference a third term or presidency beyond 2028
References:
Should there be a dispute, the rules provided will control over the answer to the question itself. While, the question is intended to provide an easy way for people to bet on their beliefs, it is not the end all be all, and all traders should look at the rules. Please don't hesitate to ask clarifying questions in the comments. In the unlikely event of significant ambiguity regarding whether the resolution criteria have been met. I reserve the right to resolve a question to a percentage that I deem fair. I will give notice before I do this.
Statement on Liquidity:
If traders on this market independently add Ṁ225 of liquidity to this market, I will upgrade this market to Plus status
Update 2025-03-28 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification on Counting Posts:
Same continued train of thought: Multiple posts that clearly form one continuous narrative or thread will be counted as a single post.
Separate posts expressing different ideas or breaking the continuous train of thought will be counted individually.
1,000@JamesEAdministrator things will count as one post if it is the same continued train of thought otherwise it will be different posts
This tally includes any “mention”, right?
If he disclaims the prospect by saying something like “you know, some of my trusted advisors have said I should run in 2030, but that would be unconstitutional, you know, and I'd never do that” — without tacking on something like like “unless they ask real nicely” — would such an unambiguously negative reference still add to this count?