Will Google Search include a chatbot at end of October 2023?
resolved Nov 1

Something a-la ChatGPT, as in it has to be able to conversational and open domain. Google Assistant doesn't count primarily because you can't ask it stuff like "write a Shakespearean sonnet about Bill Gates".

Has to be accessible from google.com homepage. Has to be open to general public, and easily accessible from Google search home page. Not something you have to get whitelisted for, be in a small experiment or meticulously look for in some settings dialog.

Separate app counts, as long as it's promoted on Google.com homepage to the general public. "Random 1% of users get an invite" doesn't count. "All US users get access but it's not in other locales" does count.

If Assistant (as it's integrated into phones, smart speakers etc.) were to just quietly get this capability, but it weren't promoted on Google.com, that wouldn't count. If it were promoted, it would.

Description from @agentydragon

Get Ṁ600 play money

🏅 Top traders

Sort by:
predicted NO

Doesn't it already include one? See Search Labs

predicted NO

@SahilDeshmukh It opens up an interface where you can "chat" with it.

predicted NO


Has to be accessible from google.com homepage

predicted NO

@chrisjbillington I do, in fact, have it on my homepage. Though it isn't available by default, I just clicked the signup button, and had it within a few days. The link I provided was just to enable it.

predicted NO

@SahilDeshmukh Makes sense, but yeah, not in line with the rest of that paragraph of the resolution criteria, which clarified that it being accessible via the homepage had to be fairly direct.

predicted NO

Time to resolve

fyi, 8 other markets for arbitrage

august - https://manifold.markets/8/will-google-search-include-a-chatbo-524fb26267a8

september - https://manifold.markets/8/will-google-search-include-a-chatbo-59c198fb8429

november - https://manifold.markets/8/will-google-search-include-a-chatbo-e0aa2893e9a8

2023 1 - https://manifold.markets/levifinkelstein/will-google-search-include-a-chatbo-06422b9d501e

2023 2 - https://manifold.markets/agentydragon/will-google-search-include-a-chatbo-ccc13e521ab6

jan - https://manifold.markets/BTE/will-google-search-include-a-chatbo-a82568d8e719

feb - https://manifold.markets/BTE/will-google-search-include-a-chatbo-18077c5f6a57

mar - https://manifold.markets/BTE/will-google-search-include-a-chatbo-63b6438f5c74