Manifold enacts change to make markets more liquid by EOY 2025?
Manifold enacts change to make markets more liquid by EOY 2025?
5
100Ṁ42Dec 31
49%
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This resolves YES if manifold enacts a change that makes the most profitable way to post a market that one expects to receive 30 traders have at least 500 liquidity at the time that it has 30 traders. The change has to be enact in 2025, and this market resolves NO otherwise.
Some examples changes that might count:
increasing trader bonus on >=500 liquidity markets enough
adding liquidity when a new trader trades
increasing the reward for the question creation quest
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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