Resolves YES if there is strong evidence that, during 2029, the United Kingdom had significantly greater overall access to US frontier AI than France.

“Access” includes the practical ability of individuals, companies, researchers, and government bodies to use, purchase, deploy, host, or build upon frontier AI models or systems developed by US-based companies. Relevant differences may arise from laws, export controls, licensing rules, commercial availability, government agreements, compute restrictions, security requirements, or other meaningful barriers.

The comparison should consider the whole of 2029. A brief or trivial difference is insufficient. The market may resolve YES where the UK had materially greater access for one or more non-trivial periods, provided that the UK’s advantage was also significant overall when the full year is considered.

If France had greater access during other periods, those periods should be weighed against the UK’s advantage. The market resolves YES only if the balance of evidence indicates that the UK had significantly greater access overall across 2029.

If the difference was minor, temporary, ambiguous, difficult to verify, or too close to call, the market resolves NO.

Resolution should be based on credible public evidence available by January 1st 2030, including official government policies, regulations, company announcements, access terms, and reporting from reputable sources.