How many people will be prosecuted in relation to Binance before 2024?
14
121
545
resolved Dec 31
Resolved
NO
5 or more
Resolved
NO
4
Resolved
NO
3
Resolved
NO
2
Resolved
YES
1

The number of people who are indicted or charged or plead guilty.

https://www.wsj.com/finance/currencies/binance-ceo-changpeng-zhao-step-down-plead-guilty-01f72a40

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I will resolve this at the market close to 1, based on the many articles only mentioning CZ (such as Evan's). But if someone find other sources, please let me know. I'm happy to update the resolution.

What news is in your mind to bet on ‘5 or more’? I can’t find articles for other people than CZ.

Hi! Thanks for the market.

  1. Do you mean only in the USA?

  1. There has been a lot of calamity on the site from the use of the word 'indicted' -- can you clarify exactly what you mean by this word in the description, before too many people start betting?

    My understanding is there is a distinction between an "indictment" which stems from a grand jury, and "charges" which do not. Using this word carefully has turned out to be very important.

I personally would recommend writing "charged or indicted" if you wish to cover both of these cases. And if you wish to only cover an indictment, make it crystal clear so the question is not misleading to new participants.

@Eliza For 1, yes for USA. For 2, thanks for information I want to cover both as (to my understanding) the choice of direct inducement or filing charging is arbitrary and not the core concept of the market. And not meaningful to predict.

If someone is against this comment on this.