Will Israeli LGBT rights be discernibly eroded before 2026?
29
1kṀ1001
Dec 31
25%
chance

There are fears of such under the new right-wing Netanyahu government.

  • Update 2024-26-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Government passes a law which restricts LGBT rights more than currently

    • Strong evidence (many articles, scandal, etc.) about how LGBT rights are de facto being eroded and the government doesn't do anything substantive to rectify this.

Market context
Israel
LGBTQIA+
Israeli Politics
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has already been erroded

Related market:

https://manifold.markets/Lemming/israel-deterioration-as-a-liberal-d

What are your specific resolution criteria? I.e. what constitutes discernably eroded and how will it be measured?

@AlexBokov If the government passes a law which restricts LGBT rights more than currently; or if there is strong evidence (many articles, scandal, etc.) about how LGBT rights are de facto being eroded and the government doesn't do anything substantive to rectify this.

yeah no

Homophobic Israeli Party Squabbles Over Appointment of Gay Knesset Speaker: https://archive.is/5PArF

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