Will Israeli LGBT rights be discernibly eroded before 2026?
28
1kṀ9862026
24%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
There are fears of such under the new right-wing Netanyahu government.
Update 2024-26-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Government passes a law which restricts LGBT rights more than currently
Strong evidence (many articles, scandal, etc.) about how LGBT rights are de facto being eroded and the government doesn't do anything substantive to rectify this.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Will US public opinion shift towards Israel during 2025 (according to gallop)?
37% chance
Will Israel have same-sex marriage by the end of 2028?
15% chance
Will Israel become more authoritarian in 2025?
61% chance
Will Israel exist at the end of 2026?
99% chance
Will Israel use nuclear weapons against an adversary before 2026?
2% chance
Conditional on Gaza being controlled by Hamas, will Palestine's Civil Liberties Index in 2024 be higher than 2022?
37% chance
Will the IDF fully withdraw from Gaza by EOY 2026?
16% chance
Will Israel be rated a free country by Freedom House in 2028?
78% chance
Will the US Supreme Court take up a case on these LGBT+ issues by EOY 2026?
Will Israel still exist at the beginning of 2032?
96% chance
Sort by:
@AlexBokov If the government passes a law which restricts LGBT rights more than currently; or if there is strong evidence (many articles, scandal, etc.) about how LGBT rights are de facto being eroded and the government doesn't do anything substantive to rectify this.
Homophobic Israeli Party Squabbles Over Appointment of Gay Knesset Speaker: https://archive.is/5PArF
People are also trading
Related questions
Will US public opinion shift towards Israel during 2025 (according to gallop)?
37% chance
Will Israel have same-sex marriage by the end of 2028?
15% chance
Will Israel become more authoritarian in 2025?
61% chance
Will Israel exist at the end of 2026?
99% chance
Will Israel use nuclear weapons against an adversary before 2026?
2% chance
Conditional on Gaza being controlled by Hamas, will Palestine's Civil Liberties Index in 2024 be higher than 2022?
37% chance
Will the IDF fully withdraw from Gaza by EOY 2026?
16% chance
Will Israel be rated a free country by Freedom House in 2028?
78% chance
Will the US Supreme Court take up a case on these LGBT+ issues by EOY 2026?
Will Israel still exist at the beginning of 2032?
96% chance