Israel’s deterioration as a liberal democracy [add predictions]
7
1kṀ2145
2026
76%
Further judicial overhaul legislation is passed
67%
Israel is downgraded in another major democracy index
48%
Another downgrading of Israel's credit rating by a major agency
40%
General attorney (Gali Baharav Miara) leaves position ahead of time
5%
Netanyahu is forced to step down as Prime Minister for any reason other then health or losing elections
3%
No general elections on or before the planned date (Oct 27 2026)
Resolved
YES
Head of the Internal Security Service (Ronen Bar) leaves position ahead of time

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  • Update 2025-03-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Updated Resolution Criteria:

    • Legislation Passage: The judicial overhaul legislation must be passed through the legislative process.

    • Supreme Court Challenge: The legislation must withstand a Supreme Court challenge.

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