Resolves NA if the market "Will Hamas lose control by the end of 2023" resolves YES:

https://manifold.markets/mirrorbot/metaculus-will-hamas-lose-control-o?r=UGF1bGY0ZGI.

This market only resolves YES or NO if Hamas remains in de facto control of Gaza throughout all of 2024. I will use other markets to determine that.

If Hamas remains in control, this market resolves YES if the Civil Liberties Index for 2024 is strictly greater than 3.5 according to this page:

https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/civil-liberties-index-eiu?tab=chart&country=PSE

Resolves NO if the condition is met and the Index is 3.5 or less.

Resolves NA if we get to the end of 2025 and the graph hasn't updated with a number for 2024.

Equivalent market for Israel being in control here:

https://manifold.markets/Paulf4db/conditional-on-gaza-being-controlle?r=UGF1bGY0ZGI