MANIFOLD
Will Greenland enter into a Compact of Free Association (COFA) with the United States before 2030?
16
Ṁ1kṀ1.8k
2030
26%
chance

This market predicts whether Greenland will formally enter into a Compact of Free Association (COFA) agreement with the United States. Resolution will be based on official announcements or signing of a COFA agreement between Greenland and the United States governments.

References:

Market context
United States
Geopolitics
Greenland
Arctic
Denmark
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

Considering how things worked out for Puerto Rico, seems unlikely that Greenland would be dumb enough to surrender their sovereignty to the US

People are also trading

US acquires part of Greenland in 2026?
19% chance
Will the Trump administration sign a bilateral agreement to acquire land in Greenland by the end of 2026?
-33% 1d17% chance
Will the United States acquire or gain sovereignty over any part of Greenland by March 31, 2026?
8% chance
Will Trump set foot in Greenland by the end of July 2026?
21% chance
Will the U.S. actually pay Greenlanders to support the acquisition?
+13% 1d27% chance
What countries will acquire sovereign territory or economic rights within any part of Greenland in 2026?
Will Greenland be a sovereign state before 2040?
31% chance
Will the United States of America acquire Greenland by Dec. 31 2026?
11% chance
Will Greenland become independent from Denmark before 2030?
20% chance
Will Greenland become a member of the EU before 2040?
41% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy