Will Greenland become independent from Denmark before 2030?
Will Greenland become independent from Denmark before 2030?
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Resolves YES if Greenland becomes officially independent from Denmark before 2030. Resolves on independence actually coming into effect, not just on announcements or votes.
"Official" means "according to both Greenland and Danish governments". If Greenland declares independence unilaterally, it will only count if and after Denmark acknowledges and makes it official from their end too.
Greenland becoming a part of another country other than Denmark will also count.
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@BrunoParga Denmark must recognise it for this market to resolve YES
"Official" means "according to both Greenland and Danish governments". If Greenland declares independence unilaterally, it will only count if and after Denmark acknowledges and makes it official from their end too.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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