Which country will the next #1 TOP500 supercomputer be from?
6
Ṁ100Ṁ785resolved Aug 7
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
100%99.0%
China
0.3%
United States
0.3%
Germany
0.3%Other
Resolves based on country of next the supercomputer to take #1 on the TOP500 list. See here for more info: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/TOP500
Currently, the #1 spot is held by "El Capitan", hosted at the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory in the United States.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ110 | |
| 2 | Ṁ10 |
People are also trading
From which countries will the 5 most performant quantum computer corporates in 2028 have originated?
Which country will win the 2026 ICPC World Finals?
Will any supercomputer reach 1 zettaFLOP before 2035?
75% chance
Will any TOP500 computer use CPUs or accelerators built off of the RISC-V ISA in 2028?
73% chance
Which countries will have a top 3 AI lab at EOY2027?
Which company will first publicly demonstrate a fault-tolerant, commercially useful quantum computer?
Which major technology company will make the most significant quantum computing breakthrough by 2030?
What organization will first create superintelligence?
Which country will win the AI race by 2030?
Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
From which countries will the 5 most performant quantum computer corporates in 2028 have originated?
Which country will win the 2026 ICPC World Finals?
Will any supercomputer reach 1 zettaFLOP before 2035?
75% chance
Will any TOP500 computer use CPUs or accelerators built off of the RISC-V ISA in 2028?
73% chance
Which countries will have a top 3 AI lab at EOY2027?
Which company will first publicly demonstrate a fault-tolerant, commercially useful quantum computer?
Which major technology company will make the most significant quantum computing breakthrough by 2030?
What organization will first create superintelligence?
Which country will win the AI race by 2030?