Which company will first publicly demonstrate a fault-tolerant, commercially useful quantum computer?

2

Ṁ200Ṁ20

resolved Jul 4

100%26%

Google

11%

IBM

9%

Microsoft

11%

Quantinuum

11%

PsiQuantum

11%

IonQ

11%

Other

11%Other

This market resolves to the first company that publicly demonstrates a fault-tolerant quantum computer that is widely recognized as commercially useful.

The demonstration must be publicly announced by the company and supported by credible evidence such as technical documentation, peer-reviewed research, or broad recognition from major industry publications.

If another company not listed achieves this milestone first, Other will resolve YES.

Market context

Get

1,000

to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#	Trader	Total profit
1		Ṁ43
2		Ṁ1

Sort by:

I am surprised and confused by this resolution, particularly coming only one day after the question was posed. Can you post the evidence for "commercially useful" on which you resolved this?

People are also trading

Which sector will be the first to widely adopt quantum computing for production workloads?

Which Company or Lab will release a Quantum Computer that can break RSA-2048 first

In which year will a quantum computer with at least 1,000 logical qubits be publicly demonstrated?

Which major technology company will make the most significant quantum computing breakthrough by 2030?

Will we have useful fault-tolerant Quantum Computers within the next decade

From which countries will the 5 most performant quantum computer corporates in 2028 have originated?

Will IBM be the first to create a quantum computer with over 10,000 qubits?

Will a commercially available quantum computer with over 1 million qubits released before 2035?

When will Quantum computing become viable?

When will quantum computers become affordable?

Related questions

Which sector will be the first to widely adopt quantum computing for production workloads?

Which Company or Lab will release a Quantum Computer that can break RSA-2048 first

In which year will a quantum computer with at least 1,000 logical qubits be publicly demonstrated?

Which major technology company will make the most significant quantum computing breakthrough by 2030?

Will we have useful fault-tolerant Quantum Computers within the next decade

From which countries will the 5 most performant quantum computer corporates in 2028 have originated?

Will IBM be the first to create a quantum computer with over 10,000 qubits?

Will a commercially available quantum computer with over 1 million qubits released before 2035?

When will Quantum computing become viable?

When will quantum computers become affordable?