Will any TOP500 computer use CPUs or accelerators built off of the RISC-V ISA in 2028?
5
90Ṁ1772028
72%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The CPU/accelerator should meaningfully contribute to the compute being done, comparable to a current CPU/GPU.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
How do you expect to gather this information? Are you able to confidently list the ISAs that fit the resolution criteria today?
Comment hidden
People are also trading
Related questions
Will I be able to buy an Apple computer that is primarily RISC-V based in 2026?
4% chance
Will Intel or Amd announce an Arm-based desktop processor before 1 Jan 2026?
4% chance
Will a model be trained using at least as much compute as GPT-3 using AMD GPUs before Jan 1 2026?
80% chance
Will Ethereum replace the EVM with RISC-V?
Will there be an announcement of a model with a training compute of over 1e30 FLOPs by the end of 2025?
5% chance
Will any of CPUs/GPU created by hackerfab generate at least 10^18 operations of compute by EOY2028?
38% chance
Will the TOP500 use lower-precision for its primary ranking methodology on 1/1/26?
35% chance
Will the Groq chip inspire Nvidia/AMD to produce radically new AI chips before 2026?
20% chance
Will Intel's photonics CPUs be available before 2027?
30% chance
Will AMD release a product that is competitive with NVIDIA in the AI hardware accelerator space before 2028?
70% chance