![](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Ffirebasestorage.googleapis.com%2Fv0%2Fb%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fo%2Fdream%252F1LJf9h03XR.png%3Falt%3Dmedia%26token%3D86a3c46f-5bca-4fc8-aac6-fbad7836e8c2&w=3840&q=75)
Related questions
Will the US government commit to legal restrictions on large AI training runs by January 1st, 2025?
13% chance
Will the US restrict transfer of trained AI models before 2026? (Deny ≥100 countries)
24% chance
Will the US or California require licenses to train large AI models before 2026?
24% chance
Will the United States ban AI research by the end of 2037?
22% chance
Will the US restrict transfer of trained AI models before 2026? (Deny all non-US, allow US or int'l licensing)
31% chance
Will the US restrict transfer of trained AI models before 2026? (Deny some entities)
82% chance
Will the US government enact legislation before 2026 that substantially slows US AI progress?
27% chance
Will the US restrict transfer of trained AI models before 2026? (Deny all, secret or no new licenses)
19% chance
[Metaculus] Will the US restrict Chinese AI developers' access to US cloud compute before 2025?
45% chance
Will the US impose restrictions on training new advanced AIs before 2030?
14% chance