China will submit to voluntary caps on compute used in AI training runs by end of 2026
8
100Ṁ2202026
9%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
See prior market
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Will Xi Jinping publicly call for a global halt in AI progress before 2028?
17% chance
China will submit to voluntary caps on compute used in AI training runs by end of 2025
6% chance
China will submit to voluntary caps on compute used in AI training runs by end of 2030
16% chance
Will any developed country establish a limit on compute for AI training by 2026?
21% chance
Limits on AI model size by 2026?
15% chance
Will the US ban AI models produced in China in 2025?
11% chance
Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^26 FLOP in China before 2026?
52% chance
10GW AI training run before 2029?
43% chance
100GW AI training run before 2031?
37% chance
Will there be a global "pause" on cutting-edge AI research due to government regulation by 2025?
1% chance