China will submit to voluntary caps on compute used in AI training runs by end of 2026
9
Ṁ100Ṁ385Dec 31
10%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
See prior market
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
China will submit to voluntary caps on compute used in AI training runs by end of 2030
6% chance
1GW AI training run before 2027?
81% chance
10GW AI training run before 2029?
20% chance
100GW AI training run before 2031?
33% chance
[Metaculus] Will a Chinese firm make a large order of domestic AI chips before 2027?
96% chance
AI safety community successfully advocates for a global AI development slowdown by December 2027
12% chance
Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^26 FLOP in China before 2028?
85% chance
Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^26 FLOP in China before 2027?
86% chance
Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^26 FLOP in China before 2029?
82% chance
Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^27 FLOP in China before 2028?
44% chance