If Trump is elected in 2024, will the US impose restrictions on training new advanced AIs before 2030?
16
Ṁ1kṀ1.5k2030
14%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If Trump is elected, this will resolve according to this market. Otherwise, it will resolve N/A.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
If Trump wins, will the US government enact legislation that significantly slows down AI progress?
28% chance
Would Trump let AI wipe out humanity? (2030)
5% chance
Will California impose restrictions on training new advanced AIs before 2030?
18% chance
Will Donald Trump publicly call for a global halt in AI progress before 2028?
25% chance
Will an AI become president of the United States before 2040?
6% chance
Will the United States ban AI research by the end of 2037?
24% chance
Will Artificial Superintelligence be developed in the USA while Donald Trump is president?
20% chance
Will there be a military operation to slow down AI development by the end of 2030?
16% chance
Will a federal moratorium on ~all state level AI regulation be in place at any point before 2030?
34% chance
Will there be a war over AI before 2035?
29% chance