Will any AI be able to explain formal language proofs to >=50% of IMO problems by the start of 2025?
Plus
30
Ṁ8411Jan 1
19%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Meaning: take a formal language proof and write a natural language proof that is accepted by human judges as correct.
The AI in question does not need to produce the formal proof.
No restrictions on the formal language being used.
Related markets:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by the end of 2025?
84% chance
Will an AI win a gold medal on the IOI (competitive programming contest) before 2025?
3% chance
Will any AI be able to formalize >=90% of IMO problems by the start of 2025?
17% chance
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2024?
4% chance
Will an AI score 1st place on International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2025?
37% chance
Will the first AI to get IMO gold use formal methods?
54% chance
Will an AI be able to convert recent mathematical results into a fully formal proofs that can be verified by a mainstream proof assistant by 2025?
5% chance
Will the first AI to get IMO gold tree-search the formal proof space?
55% chance
Will the AIMO (Artificial Intelligence Mathematical Olympiad) Grand Prize be won before 2025?
9% chance
Will an AI win a gold medal on the IOI (competitive programming contest) before 2026?
85% chance