![](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstorage.googleapis.com%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fcontract-images%2Fnikki%2F1xway88616.jpg&w=3840&q=75)
Will there be 2 or more combinatorics problems on IMO 2025 x Will AI get a gold medal on IMO 2025?
Basic
14
Ṁ1.2k2025
1D
1W
1M
ALL
25%
Yes/Yes
24%
Yes/No
37%
No/Yes
13%
No/No
https://manifold.markets/jack/will-an-ai-win-a-gold-medal-on-imo, or the AIMO main prize resolves yes, then the AI has won a gold medal on the IMO.
The source for whether a problem is a combinatorics problem will be Evan Chen. https://web.evanchen.cc/upload/MOHS-hardness.pdf
I will not bet on this market. Market criteria may be adjusted for a short term.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by the end of 2025?
67% chance
Will an AI win a gold medal on International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2025?
56% chance
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2025?
77% chance
Will an AI win a gold medal on the IOI (competitive programming contest) before 2027?
66% chance
Will an AI get bronze on any International Math Olympiad by 2025?
71% chance
Will AI get at least bronze on the IMO by end of 2025?
75% chance
Will an AI score 1st place on International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2025?
29% chance
Will an AI get bronze or silver on any International Math Olympiad by end of 2025?
73% chance
Will an AI win a gold medal on the IOI (competitive programming contest) before 2030?
76% chance
Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2029?
80% chance
Sort by:
Is there any particular reason to prefer Evan Chen’s MOHS document over shortlist categories? There’s a chance Evan doesn’t upload MOHS in 2025, or it might take a very long time.
Related questions
Related questions
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by the end of 2025?
67% chance
Will AI get at least bronze on the IMO by end of 2025?
75% chance
Will an AI win a gold medal on International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2025?
56% chance
Will an AI score 1st place on International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2025?
29% chance
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2025?
77% chance
Will an AI get bronze or silver on any International Math Olympiad by end of 2025?
73% chance
Will an AI win a gold medal on the IOI (competitive programming contest) before 2027?
66% chance
Will an AI win a gold medal on the IOI (competitive programming contest) before 2030?
76% chance
Will an AI get bronze on any International Math Olympiad by 2025?
71% chance
Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2029?
80% chance