Will AI for Diplomacy be strongly superhuman by 2024?
66
1.3kṀ60k
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

Meta AI recently achieved 90th percentile Diplomacy play (no restrictions afaict): https://ai.facebook.com/blog/cicero-ai-negotiates-persuades-and-cooperates-with-people/.

Within one year, will AI be superhuman at Diplomacy, which for the purposes of this market means an ELO rating corresponding to a 90% win rate against the best human players?

Nov 22, 11:51pm: Will AI for Diplomacy be superhuman by 2024? → Will AI for Diplomacy be strongly superhuman by 2024?

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ1,308
2Ṁ1,270
3Ṁ349
4Ṁ88
5Ṁ69
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy