Monopoly Deal is a game by Hasbro. The rules can be found here.

Will an AI be able to win a Monopoly Deal tournament with fairly experienced players by the end of 2025? If a game is similar to Monopoly Deal (such as Covidopoly), that would count as well.

Update #1 (1/23/2024)

Proposed Resolution Criteria (see comment below)

At the end of 2025, I will catalogue and collect the best Monopoly Deal agents and then have them play a large number of games against skilled and experienced humans. I assume on the order of 50 games is enough to enable skill differences to show through the variations in luck. In order for this market to resolve positively, the bot must achieve a higher win-rate than any human in the tournament.

Some open questions include:

• How will the humans be selected for high skill, given the lack of organization around the game?

• How will the agents be comprehensively catalogued and identified?

• Will there just be two humans, or could multiple humans help to play the large number of games?

• In the case where there are multiple agents available, would we have a tournament style bracket where agents compete against each other to find the strongest agent?