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MANIFOLD
When will no-calculator SOTA on the MATH dataset pass 90%?
10
Ṁ660Ṁ1.2k
resolved Nov 21
100%92%
Before 2025
0.2%Other
7%
2025-2027
0.3%
2027-2029
0.0%
2029-2031
0.0%
2031-2033
0.0%
2033-2035
0.0%
2035-2040
0.0%
2040-never
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bought Ṁ300 YES

GPT-4 is at 42.5% pass@1 https://arxiv.org/pdf/2303.12712.pdf#page=36. It seems that it is possible to use majority voting (the same thing Minerva did). I would expect such a model to be around 65%.