Will SNL make a sketch involving any big AI lab before the end of 2025?
15
1kṀ1832
2026
60%
chance

Resolves YES if SNL features a sketch at any time on or before Dec 31, 2025 where any member of a big AI lab is portrayed or featured as a character. AI labs that would fit this description include and are limited to: Google DeepMind, OpenAI, Anthropic, and xAI. Said member of the lab must be employed at one of the aforementioned orgs at the time of the sketch airing. Resolves NO otherwise.

  • Update 2025-02-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Exclusion Clarification:

    • Elon Musk is explicitly excluded from the eligible members of xAI for the purpose of this market.

    • His portrayal in any SNL sketch will not count towards a YES resolution.

  • Update 2025-02-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Random Employee Representation Clarification

    • A depiction of a random AI lab employee counts as a valid portrayal provided that the sketch explicitly states the character is from one of the following labs: Google DeepMind, OpenAI, Anthropic, or xAI.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy