Will SNL make a sketch involving any big AI lab before the end of 2025?
13
1kṀ1492
2026
50%
chance

Resolves YES if SNL features a sketch at any time on or before Dec 31, 2025 where any member of a big AI lab is portrayed or featured as a character. AI labs that would fit this description include and are limited to: Google DeepMind, OpenAI, Anthropic, and xAI. Said member of the lab must be employed at one of the aforementioned orgs at the time of the sketch airing. Resolves NO otherwise.

  • Update 2025-02-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Exclusion Clarification:

    • Elon Musk is explicitly excluded from the eligible members of xAI for the purpose of this market.

    • His portrayal in any SNL sketch will not count towards a YES resolution.

  • Update 2025-02-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Random Employee Representation Clarification

    • A depiction of a random AI lab employee counts as a valid portrayal provided that the sketch explicitly states the character is from one of the following labs: Google DeepMind, OpenAI, Anthropic, or xAI.

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Does it need to be a specific, identifiable member of the lab? Or would a sketch involving some random nameless "OpenAI employee character" count?

@Ziddletwix good point, i think random AI lab employee would count if it is explicitly stated to be from one of the four labs in the description

Does Elon Musk, being the CEO, count as a member of xAI?

@noaht2 good point, but probably not. that man is on like every week. apologies i should've excluded him in the description

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