Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if before this market closes, U.S. forces successfully locate and retrieve the second crew member of the U.S. fighter jet shot down over Iran on April 3, 2026. It resolves to NO if it is definitively confirmed that the crew member has died or if the rescue mission is officially concluded without recovery.

Resolution will be based on reports from reputable news organizations (e.g., Associated Press, Reuters, CBS News, Axios) or official statements from the U.S. Department of Defense confirming the status of the individual.

Background

On April 3, 2026, a U.S. F-15E fighter jet was shot down over Iran. Multiple media outlets reported that the aircraft had a two-member crew, one of whom was promptly rescued by U.S. forces. As of April 3, 2026, a search and rescue operation for the second crew member remains ongoing.

This description was generated by AI.