MANIFOLD
Will Artemis II crew successfully complete lunar flyby and return to Earth?
4
Ṁ100Ṁ593
Apr 15
66%
chance

Resolves YES if all four Artemis II crew members (Wiseman, Glover, Koch, Hansen) successfully complete the lunar flyby and splash down safely on Earth. Resolves NO if the mission is aborted before lunar flyby or if crew does not return safely.

Artemis II launched April 1, 2026. The 10-day mission is the first crewed lunar flyby since Apollo 17 in 1972. Lunar flyby scheduled for April 6, splashdown around April 11.

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